Is Minnesota In Play Too?

September 14, 2008

Looks like it.  Powerline has this poll from the Minneapolis Star Tribune with McCain-Obama at 45 all, which is big considering the 13 point hole McCain found himself in back in May.

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There’s an old saying on the ‘street that goes, “When they’re cryin’, you should be buyin, and when they’re yellin’, you better get to sellin’.” 

The thing about America is that we like brash, bold and outlandish.  We also like those qualities to be tempered with grace, humility, and a workman-like pride.  Nancy Pelosi’s House and Harry’s Senate just hasn’t embraced those qualities.  They aren’t bold, or brash since they’ve worried little about getting anything of substance accomplished (even THEIR stated goals; ending the war, healthcare reform), though they have been outlandish (who could forget Murtha and his Haditha failings?). 

Humility and grace?  Workman-like pride?  Forget it.  Nancy knows that her district, and her seat, are the safest in the House.  She can be as bat-shit crazy as she wants, because she knows her ticket is punched.  Good luck working with that….

At any rate, the Wall Stree Journal has thoughts here

Something happened on the way to September.

It was in July that Chris Van Hollen, head of the Democrats’ House campaign operation, predicted this year would prove “another big-wave election” for his party — a repeat of 2006 when Democrats gained 31 seats. Barack Obama’s “50-state strategy” was supposed to secure both the White House and blowout gains in Congress. At the recent Democratic convention, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer bragged his party had 75 pick-up opportunities.

Or maybe not. Slowly, without much notice, the political landscape has changed. House Republicans are getting traction on issues like energy and reform, and a boost from a newly energized McCain-Palin ticket. An even bigger problem for Democrats is that Nancy Pelosi’s liberal governing has put her own vaunted freshmen at risk in their conservative districts.

McCain Moves Ahead

September 7, 2008

The Gallup numbers are out and McCain/Palin leads 48% to 45%.  This is the daily tracking poll with 2,765 registered voters and a sampling error of plus/minus 2 percentage points. 

I give most of it to Palin.  The convention itself was lackluster save Wednesday night, Palin’s unveiling.  She came through in the clutch; now, let’s see how she performs over the next 58 days.  Also, the pathetic media performance and smear factories that popped up this past week probably helped to give them a “pity bounce”.  We’ll see if it holds.

Asheville Citizen-Times says 2008 will be the year of the Dems in NC.  I can believe it.  I personally know people who have never stepped foot in a voting booth who are big time Obamatrons.  You don’t need a grasp of the issues to rock the vote.  At any rate, I still think it’ll be a squeaker for McCain in the Carolinas.

Taxprof Roundup

July 25, 2008

Taxprof has the roundup of the respective Obama and McCain tax plans.  There’s a lot there, but its all meat, so dig in.  I notice in both Angry Bear’s post and Hilzoy’s at The Daily Dish that McCain’s proposals aren’t looking so hot.  McCain’s advisor Doug Holtz-Eakin put up a…less than spirited defense after getting walloped by Austin Goolsbee. 

Holtz-Eakin said, well, “Taxes aren’t everything” (actual quote, at a debate on tax policy) and talked up McCain’s proposals on the environment and renewable energy. Rather than make any attempt to rebut Goolsbee’s takedown, he argued that reducing taxes increases growth and that the spending side needs to be considered as well.

Well, yeah, the spending side is arguably the most important side of the equation.  Good pocketbook defense and all that jazz.  Still, McCain appears more blase as each day passes.  His only hope is to destory Obama in substantive, logical arguments.  He hasn’t done so, and doesn’t appear to be able to do so.  Obama is a charismatic steamroller, if nothing else.  If this is the best he can muster…